Description

This analysis provides a forecast of NEAR prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2026-02-01 0.993986 1.114980 1.246604 1.400699 1.576499 1.771206 2.003729
2026-02-08 0.785076 0.940834 1.123277 1.353799 1.638768 1.981368 2.427259
2026-02-15 0.652651 0.824220 1.037406 1.323969 1.702422 2.189743 2.872211
2026-02-22 0.583812 0.770899 1.015416 1.362219 1.847614 2.512040 3.506306
2026-03-01 0.522292 0.716100 0.980497 1.373167 1.951156 2.785950 4.111104
2026-03-08 0.461103 0.652611 0.923549 1.342128 1.985696 2.959852 4.589147
2026-03-15 0.411312 0.598702 0.872509 1.310710 2.011458 3.118443 5.061086
2026-03-22 0.391561 0.586157 0.879845 1.366937 2.177714 3.516031 5.985029
2026-03-29 0.370255 0.568494 0.876604 1.404568 2.316458 3.884450 6.916366
2026-04-05 0.349679 0.549561 0.868763 1.432572 2.440634 4.242114 7.885084
2026-04-12 0.326072 0.523256 0.845908 1.431635 2.512340 4.513078 8.730151
2026-04-19 0.301694 0.493336 0.813904 1.410550 2.543586 4.710706 9.458095
2026-04-26 0.271958 0.452834 0.761893 1.351199 2.502194 4.775247 9.948509
2026-05-03 0.248231 0.420820 0.722021 1.310417 2.492600 4.904168 10.611008
2026-05-10 0.229060 0.395191 0.691192 1.283373 2.506950 5.084917 11.429498
2026-05-17 0.220640 0.388144 0.693547 1.321038 2.659082 5.583346 13.110259
2026-05-24 0.209504 0.375057 0.683236 1.331919 2.755487 5.973090 14.606711
2026-05-31 0.194557 0.353525 0.654741 1.302045 2.758246 6.147135 15.577515
2026-06-07 0.180979 0.333519 0.627459 1.271725 2.755914 6.308447 16.549774
2026-06-14 0.177575 0.333022 0.638899 1.326095 2.957153 7.002687 19.203444
2026-06-21 0.172474 0.328699 0.642093 1.362473 3.120521 7.629116 21.820060
2026-06-28 0.166797 0.322724 0.641267 1.389540 3.264728 8.230362 24.520226
2026-07-05 0.159024 0.311817 0.629021 1.388636 3.337832 8.650152 26.742831